Why Is Mahinda Everybody’s Darling? - A Left Perspective
October 31, 2005Presidential campaign is accelerating full throttle, candidates of the two main parties dropping the others far behind. But the voters who are not the hardcore kind adhered to a certain party seem yet undecided. Floating vote will decide the winner.
Who can be the winner? Anybody can be. But who should be the winner? This �should be� factor depends upon the political stand of the individual.
Anything can happen except Siddhalepa Mudalali or Wije Dias Sahodaraya or one of the other nine similar candidates will win. Therefore there is no point arguing one of the left candidates should win although whatsoever leftists we are.
Tamils and Muslims can ignore this election on the basis that it is just to select the Sinhala ruler to govern the Sinhala dominant state that provides second level citizenship to the minorities.
But the people like us cannot come to that stand although we have leftist thinking as we are Sinhalese. The way the future president leads this country is very important to us.
Therefore we have to decide who should be the president although both contenders are equally hated by us.
Ethnic problem wise, Ranil�s slogans are more attractive because he promotes federalism vis-�-vis Mahinda�s unitary state. He looks like a non-racist while his attempts to adorn himself with nationalist costumes make him a laughing stock. Sinhala nationalist forces charge him that he will betray the country to tigers. Then why don�t the tigers support him to carry out a project that is so good for them?
in fact Ranil is the most feared figure to the tigers. During his rule he was consuming time without taking steps to solve the problem. He expected the Tamil Liberation Movement would liquidate during the period of no war � no peace. His strategy of containment proved successful as the LTTE split with Karuna�s rebellion. On the other hand he created a sharp security network with the help of western allies. LTTE doubts his plans what ultimately can impose a lesser devolution of power and force LTTE to accept it, threatening a possible military onslaught.
This project could be successful if JVP and JHU did not launch a do-or-die campaign to oust the UNP government. After all Ranil�s approach towards the ethnic problem is a dangerous one in the point of view of the Tamil Liberation Movement. Therefore although they do not support anybody, Ranil�s defeat can be warmly welcomed. It literally means Mahinda�s success.
On the other hand, nationalist extremists who have lined up with Mahinda actually make the Tamil cause easier. Their unbending stubbornness towards the devolution of power provides a space to the LTTE to rationalize its military strategies.
Therefore in every measure Mahinda will be the LTTE�s choice.
Ranil�s economic policy will no way be popular among the masses, although it is embraced by the upper echelon of the business community. �Regaining Sri Lanka� which Ranil put forward and will be reactivated after his victory was heavily criticized by the JVP and the civil society organizations. The economic philosophy behind it, the growth will trickle down and alleviate poverty, is a clich� questioned even by the president of the World Bank Mr. Paul Wolfenson. Huge borrowings he has intended are sure to increase the indebtedness of the nation. It is highly questionable whether these super infrastructure development projects are really to connect the poor to the growth or for the benefit of the foreign investment that come to the country just looking for hire and fire cheap labour. In common man�s perspective Ranil is a sales representative of western capital who is going to sell everything from CEB to village tank.
Comparatively Mahinda has a better appearance because he has no policy at all, except rhetoric. People can expect a presidency with no rapid changes. Yet who knows what is in this man�s mysterious coldness? Will he keep the JVP sahodarayas at hand or will he kick them out, nobody knows. If the sahodarayas will stay, there will be some kind of impediment to the structural reforms that the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund will push through. In that perspective as well, Mahinda is the �people�s choice�. That can be the reason for Vasu sahodaraya�s latest summersault, if it is not to secure a seat in a future parliament.
Mahinda is the perfect choice for the middle class. He will be the creator of government employments, regardless any work is available for the new recruits. Salaries will be paid in five figure numbers from the coffers filled with the money hard earned by garment workers, Middle East housemaids and estate workers. He will not cut the public sector like Ranil. Pensions will be re-granted for government servants. Further, he has promised to safeguard all the other middle class fantacies.
Wow! What a match!
Will the farming community respond to the Amude or Denim jeans? Or Rs.350 bag of fertilizer or Rs.550 bag? Nobody knows yet. But both have plans to grant freehold titles to the colony settlers. Ranil had planned to increase urban population to 50% from the current level of below 25%, in his �Regaining SriLanka�. How is he going to do that? Will he make the farmers sell their lands to the growers of cash crops and make them migrate to towns as wage labourers. Who supports such life gambling? Mahinda has, at least, not articulated such plans.
What does the real working class think at this moment? Colombo city dwellers both rich and poor have turned to Ranil. They expect Ranil will create more jobs, the kind the private sector offers, and more earnings. Estate workers will have to obey their Kankanis and vote Ranil. They have never expected anything beyond their leaders expected from elections.
Now I am going to summarize my argument. For SLFP Mahinda was OK when he was selected as the presidential candidate regardless whatever the president and Anura utter now. Mahinda has set himself perfectly in the JVP propaganda machine that can paste a poster on each and every wall and for the JVP Mahinda is the sinking man�s bit of staw. For the good old left parties plus Vasu Sahodaraya have no other choice to cling to a seat or two in a future parliament. For the JHU and Bhumiputhra Party Mahinda will the person who saves the Sasane and Pandu Heliya (religion and the pot of saffron die). For the LTTE as well Mahinda will be the less fearful leader. For the middle class Mahinda is the saviour of their dreams. For the farming community he will be the person who at least will not modernize it too rapidly. He is a man who states that no privatization will occur under his presidency.
That is why I say Mahinda is everybody�s darling, if not most of them. Out of two rotten eggs, people have to select one that at appears less rotten.
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